Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 198.358724 229.763582 265.629005 309.856101 363.249848 426.034433 506.046371
2025-09-14 148.977328 186.338047 233.208236 297.152820 383.413002 497.634374 663.563122
2025-09-21 125.449301 165.356367 218.787800 297.134048 411.813495 578.023530 845.839088
2025-09-28 110.194553 151.375887 209.447928 299.748784 441.240642 662.808416 1054.101132
2025-10-05 103.205885 147.233626 212.363640 319.392440 498.433828 800.990949 1387.411615
2025-10-12 96.807977 142.707579 213.511669 335.732920 552.704666 946.254407 1780.111908
2025-10-19 87.881589 132.959466 204.862636 334.032423 574.853631 1038.475191 2099.464576
2025-10-26 82.539201 128.123204 203.294139 343.872455 619.437455 1183.950865 2586.846805
2025-11-02 77.077008 122.371023 199.292826 348.413047 654.338305 1318.127599 3102.073880
2025-11-09 72.518727 117.586290 196.270556 354.118648 692.494663 1469.342875 3728.475151
2025-11-16 67.669149 111.751366 190.598803 353.628625 717.124013 1595.629274 4345.332778
2025-11-23 63.282535 106.283582 184.936043 352.217225 739.301565 1722.081304 5028.552228
2025-11-30 59.387656 101.769549 181.397544 356.647888 781.092872 1927.166864 6157.294192
2025-12-07 53.721284 93.456328 169.633311 341.702559 773.318961 1996.268493 6858.929899
2025-12-14 50.259229 88.957582 164.893352 341.682765 803.831908 2190.985029 8234.690934
2025-12-21 47.472205 85.463696 161.745249 344.776632 843.623046 2432.382641 10058.941433
2025-12-28 46.670780 85.798056 166.629830 368.048892 946.916246 2938.094589 13828.521360
2026-01-04 45.541493 85.332298 169.706899 387.446318 1045.259500 3482.258480 18676.809840
2026-01-11 42.931853 81.525649 164.881769 385.426108 1076.170296 3778.863952 22402.975039
2026-01-18 41.479798 80.026387 165.123850 397.121192 1156.286149 4334.671237 29238.009198
2026-01-25 39.733921 77.723146 163.212249 402.521829 1216.907535 4843.574312 36939.327814
2026-02-01 38.203055 75.748860 161.852853 409.311714 1285.341142 5441.864185 47335.762016
2026-02-08 36.381623 72.963603 158.205546 408.728413 1326.216187 5927.871146 58131.603102